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30 Sep · 15:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1399
2-3Final setsSikon won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1527
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sikon at 62%. The actual result was Mateusz Sikon 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Sikon favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 74.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Sikon −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Sikon −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Buczynski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Witold Buczynskipre 40% → final 66%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 40 ptsBuczynski recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games