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30 Sep · 16:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1394
1-3Final setsSikon won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1527
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sikon at 63%. The actual result was Mateusz Sikon 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Sikon favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Sikon −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Sikon −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 39% → final 2%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsSikon recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games