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← TT Elite Series predictions
30 Sep · 16:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPiotr Strus
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1311
1-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1354
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 55%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Strus is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Piotr Struspre 48% → final 46%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 43 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games