Dawid Kotwica vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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30 Sep · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica

ELO 1372

3-2Final setsKotwica won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1318

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 53%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Dawid Kotwica — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Kotwica favoured — closing 1.7

Favourite won

Total 74.5

100 points played

Over

Set handicap

Dawid Kotwica −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Kotwica −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 50% → final 78%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 71 ptsKotwica recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games