Marcin Kowalczyk vs Dawid Poloszczanski — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

30 Sep · 19:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1337

2-3Final setsPoloszczanski won

🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski

ELO 1357

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 54%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Dawid Poloszczanski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Set handicap

Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

4.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 49% → final 5%

Dawid Poloszczanski ▼

Biggest swing 80 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games