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30 Sep · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1457
3-1Final setsRuszkiewicz won
KJKrzysztof Juszczyk
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1498
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Juszczyk at 56%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Juszczyk favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Juszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Juszczyk −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Juszczyk.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 40% → final 99%
Krzysztof Juszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsRuszkiewicz recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games