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30 Sep · 20:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1359
0-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1357
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 51%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 55% → final 5%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 41%58 points · 3 games