30 Sept · 23:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1593
FormWLLWW
38%
62%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (45)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H32-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-27)