30 Sept · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1424
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Klocek
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1359
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 71% (34)
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)