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30 Sep · 21:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASAdam Staniczek
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1395
2-3Final setsZelezik won
JZJacek Zelezik
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1642
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zelezik at 75%. The actual result was Jacek Zelezik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Zelezik favoured — closing 1.2
Favourite won
Total 69.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Zelezik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Zelezik −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Staniczek is favoured to win, below means Jacek Zelezik.

▲ Adam Staniczekpre 26% → final 18%
Jacek Zelezik ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsZelezik recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games