Marcin Kowalczyk vs Dawid Kotwica — TT Elite Series

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30 Sep · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1350

3-1Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica

ELO 1370

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-1 — the underdog won.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Dawid Kotwica — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Kotwica favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 74.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Dawid Kotwica −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Kotwica −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.3

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 49% → final 22%

Dawid Kotwica ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsKotwica recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games