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30 Sep · 23:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKamil Klocek
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1429
3-1Final setsKlocek won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1350
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Klocek at 58%. The actual result was Kamil Klocek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 76.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Klocek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Kamil Klocekpre 55% → final 0%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts46 points · 3 games