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30 Sep · 22:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1355
3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1370
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 51%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 45% → final 95%
Dawid Kotwica ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 41%58 points · 3 games