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30 Sep · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1492
3-2Final setsJozefiak won
ABAdrian Burkacki
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1417
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jozefiak at 56%. The actual result was Michal Jozefiak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Jozefiak favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Jozefiak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Jozefiak −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Jozefiak is favoured to win, below means Adrian Burkacki.

▲ Michal Jozefiakpre 60% → final 100%
Adrian Burkacki ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts72 points · 5 games