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01 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1532
1-3Final setsJozefiak won
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1492
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 56%. The actual result was Michal Jozefiak 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Michal Jozefiak.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 53% → final 0%
Michal Jozefiak ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsJozefiak recovered from 34%67 points · 4 games