1 Oct · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1417
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1561
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H30-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-17)