1 Oct · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1461
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1642
FormWWWWW
31%
69%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (45)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~79 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H19-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-5)