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01 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1628
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1567
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 53%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Olbrycht −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Olbrycht −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 50% → final 99%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games