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01 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1646
0-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1636
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 53%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 57% → final 5%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKolek recovered from 39%69 points · 3 games