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01 Oct · 04:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WSWitold Stechly
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1200
2-3Final setsMichalik won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1461
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 76%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michalik favoured — closing 1.2
Favourite won
Total 72.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michalik −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Stechly is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Witold Stechlypre 25% → final 1%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts72 points · 5 games