Pawel Kurek vs Marian Lebek — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

01 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1545

3-2Final setsKurek won

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1558

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 50%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Pawel Kurek — profile →Marian Lebek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 74.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marian Lebek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marian Lebek −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.3

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 54% → final 91%

Marian Lebek ▼

Biggest swing 53 ptsKurek recovered from 38%72 points · 5 games