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01 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1545
0-3Final setsBurkacki won
ABAdrian Burkacki
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1435
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 72%. The actual result was Adrian Burkacki 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 74.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Adrian Burkacki.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 71% → final 82%
Adrian Burkacki ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKurek recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games