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01 Oct · 07:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WPWiktor Ptak
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1479
0-3Final setsKaczmarek won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1426
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ptak at 62%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wiktor Ptak favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 77.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wiktor Ptak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wiktor Ptak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wiktor Ptak is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Wiktor Ptakpre 60% → final 2%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 32%53 points · 3 games