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01 Oct · 06:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1347
3-0Final setsWarpas won
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1569
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 76%. The actual result was Blazej Warpas 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Kukawka favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 73.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Milosz Kukawka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milosz Kukawka −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
12
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Blazej Warpas is favoured to win, below means Milosz Kukawka.

▲ Blazej Warpaspre 20% → final 89%
Milosz Kukawka ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsWarpas recovered from 13%57 points · 3 games