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01 Oct · 07:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1481
3-1Final setsMinda won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1348
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 62%. The actual result was Michal Minda 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Minda favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Minda −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Minda −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Minda is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Michal Mindapre 66% → final 92%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games