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DeuceLab
Ratings & Predictions
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01 Oct · 07:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1625
2-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1643
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 51%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 53% → final 23%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsKolek recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games