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01 Oct · 07:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WGWaldemar Glanowski
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1401
3-2Final setsGlanowski won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1426
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 55%. The actual result was Waldemar Glanowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
105 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waldemar Glanowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Waldemar Glanowskipre 48% → final 89%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsGlanowski recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games