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01 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1347
3-1Final setsWarpas won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1348
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 52%. The actual result was Blazej Warpas 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Blazej Warpas is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Blazej Warpaspre 51% → final 95%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 4 games