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01 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1473
3-1Final setsOracz won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 61%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Oracz favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukasz Oracz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 42% → final 94%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsOracz recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games