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01 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1503
0-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 54%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Jozefiak is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Michal Jozefiakpre 49% → final 95%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsJozefiak recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games