01 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1473
2-3Final setsNowak won
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1359
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Ptak at 62%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Wiktor Ptak favoured — closing 1.6
Total 77.5
101 points played
Set handicap
Wiktor Ptak −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Wiktor Ptak −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wiktor Ptak is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.
▲ Wiktor Ptakpre 60% → final 26%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsNowak recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games