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01 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WGWaldemar Glanowski
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1404
3-1Final setsGlanowski won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1618
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 74%. The actual result was Waldemar Glanowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 72.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waldemar Glanowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Waldemar Glanowskipre 27% → final 83%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsGlanowski recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games