Rafal Niemiec vs Wiktor Ptak — TT Elite Series

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01 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1551

3-1Final setsNiemiec won

🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak

ELO 1473

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 57%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Niemiec — profile →Wiktor Ptak — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.6

Favourite won

Total 75.5

81 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Rafal Niemiec −2.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Wiktor Ptak.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 54% → final 98%

Wiktor Ptak ▼

Biggest swing 78 ptsNiemiec recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games