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01 Oct · 10:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
1-3Final setsJendrzejewski won
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1644
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 55%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 79.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jendrzejewski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 52% → final 12%
Patryk Jendrzejewski ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts72 points · 4 games