Rafal Niemiec vs Jakub Nowak — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

01 Oct · 11:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1555

3-0Final setsNiemiec won

🇵🇱Jakub Nowak

ELO 1348

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 69%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Niemiec — profile →Jakub Nowak — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Niemiec favoured — closing 1.35

Favourite won

Total 74.5

62 points played

Under

Set handicap

Niemiec −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Niemiec −6.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

3.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 67% → final 98%

Jakub Nowak ▼

Biggest swing 33 pts61 points · 3 games