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01 Oct · 11:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WPWiktor Ptak
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1473
3-1Final setsPtak won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1422
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ptak at 54%. The actual result was Wiktor Ptak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 76.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wiktor Ptak is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Wiktor Ptakpre 51% → final 1%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 40%53 points · 3 games