1 Oct · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1616
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)