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01 Oct · 11:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WGWaldemar Glanowski
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1412
3-1Final setsGlanowski won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1346
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Glanowski at 55%. The actual result was Waldemar Glanowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Nowak favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 74.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Nowak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Nowak −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waldemar Glanowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Waldemar Glanowskipre 59% → final 6%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsNowak recovered from 35%60 points · 3 games