Arkadiusz Mugowski vs Bartosz Czerwinski — TT Elite Series

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01 Oct · 12:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1423

3-2Final setsMugowski won

🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski

ELO 1578

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 69%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Bartosz Czerwinski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.35

Upset

Total 74.5

99 points played

Over

Set handicap

Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Bartosz Czerwinski −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

6.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Arkadiusz Mugowski is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Arkadiusz Mugowskipre 33% → final 73%

Bartosz Czerwinski ▼

Biggest swing 63 ptsMugowski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games