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01 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1615
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1650
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 54%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 79.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 42% → final 89%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games