Dawid Kosmal vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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01 Oct · 13:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal

ELO 1632

3-2Final setsKosmal won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1423

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 71%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Dawid Kosmal — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.22

Favourite won

Total 72.5

88 points played

Over

Set handicap

Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Kosmal −8.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.55

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 70% → final 81%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 86 ptsKosmal recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games