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01 Oct · 13:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1654
3-0Final setsJendrzejewski won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1631
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 51%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 79.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 53% → final 5%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKolek recovered from 43%69 points · 3 games