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01 Oct · 13:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1452
2-3Final setsMugowski won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1423
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 55%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Minda favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 76.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Minda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Minda −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Minda is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Michal Mindapre 52% → final 0%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsMugowski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games