1 Oct · 17:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1457
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Niemiec
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
🌟Niemiec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)