1 Oct · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1365
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Myszewski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1396
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.