1 Oct · 18:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1357
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1358
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H20-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.