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01 Oct · 16:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WGWaldemar Glanowski
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1407
0-3Final setsNiemiec won
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1555
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 65%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 75.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Niemiec −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waldemar Glanowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Niemiec.

▲ Waldemar Glanowskipre 30% → final 41%
Rafal Niemiec ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsNiemiec recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games