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01 Oct · 16:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1639
3-1Final setsSkotniczny won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1410
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 73%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 78% → final 92%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSkotniczny recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games