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01 Oct · 17:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1344
2-3Final setsMyszewski won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1416
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 54%. The actual result was Adrian Myszewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Myszewski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Myszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Myszewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 42% → final 48%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsMyszewski recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games