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01 Oct · 17:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1524
3-1Final setsKoczyba won
KJKrzysztof Juszczyk
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1494
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 53%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Juszczyk.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 57% → final 98%
Krzysztof Juszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsKoczyba recovered from 38%70 points · 4 games